Our train has now arrived at Predictable Outcome Station. Please watch your step.
In September, when the UCP government released the MacKinnon report — in which Janice MacKinnon, the former finance minister for Saskatchewan, suggested the barely-signed city charters for Edmonton and Calgary should be ripped up — one could see the fate of the still-to-come Valley Line - West was life support. The reason is not that we don’t have the money to build it. No, the reason is political benefit.
The UCP knows its base is clustered in rural, exurban and suburban Alberta, and most especially not in urban pockets of Edmonton. Its base, roughly speaking, doesn’t want Edmonton to have money for things like flashy LRT, because it doesn’t believe it needs such stuff. What this base does need, always, despite us having enough of them to travel to the moon, is new roads. So, transit is a very bad thing in the UCP’s Alberta and new roads are not. We have already seen this de facto policy in action — take a bow, 2019 capital investment plan and your maintained investment in ring-road expansion.
On the flip side, what the UCP government knows is that people pay less attention to its cutting and smashing if they are already engaged in fights amongst themselves. Cities, especially Edmonton, fight about the cost of transit, bike lanes and crosswalks — even though what fiscal conservatives might really want to concern themselves with, were they actually fiscal conservatives, are things like $510-million in debt-financing to build a freeway. So, by scrapping the city charters and threatening to bail on its LRT commitments with just 90-days-notice — but not its roads — the UCP government knows council and city residents will surely turn on one another.
Who benefits?
The longer we fight the longer we’re not discussing the real problems. Remember those ripped up city charters? How about the fairness, fiscally speaking, of a city that creates roughly 25 per cent of the entire province’s GDP, only to see the money it receives cut? Those are the actual fiscal reasons why we can’t build transit. But those have to do with the provincial government. And I swear I’ve heard an argument about fiscal fairness coming from Alberta recently, but it’s been aimed at Ottawa for some reason.
Expect much political maneuvering centred on the Valley Line - West in the next while within Edmonton City Council. Expect this to achieve little. The next municipal election in 2021 is close and, sadly, is already blunting the ability of our council to act. Several councillors are contemplating or preparing to run for mayor. What we get as reward is a council that, as a whole, is not taking a strong stand on much these days, lest individuals look out of step with the new anti-progressive fashion and damage their chances at a mayoral run.
We deserve better than politics on the Valley Line - West.
One, we have the money to build it. This money is currently being spent on things like the Yellowhead and other investments that just make us spend too much over time to achieve too little. It’s also currently being left on the table, in the form of revenue tools the province should hand over to cities to allow them to build what they need rather than beg.
Two, not building the LRT extension does several bad things we can’t afford — and this point is on council. It would choke us of transit despite our belief that we will hit two-million people by mid century. If you hate your commute today, let me tell you — you, or possibly your kids, will positively loathe it if we don’t build higher capacity mobility now. Oh, and don’t expect us to attract developers after convincing some to build towers on a premise that high-capacity transit was coming but then, you know, bailing. Expect, instead, an acceleration of greenfield suburbia at the fringes and nightmare traffic.
Three, the system is designed more or less to function with the west-leg, not without it. If we don’t build the west leg, now, how does a train line that ends in the centre of our downtown actually work? Or does it at all?
Four, on the question of alternatives like bus rapid-transit, I’ve lived in Ottawa and saw what its BRT was like. It was great to get places, fast, but nobody wanted to live near it. Buses are loud and they stink. BRT may move plenty of people and be super cheap, and it should have a place in Edmonton, but BRT will not incentivize denser development in the way the Valley Line - West already has — without even being built.
Five, and finally, it’s 2019 and West Edmonton Mall, one of our largest employment nodes, bigger on its busy days than downtown itself, doesn’t have a connection to LRT. This is madness. It should have been there from the beginning. We have a chance, now, to finally connect the behemoth.
We have to do it. Council needs to figure out how to make it happen.