I’ve started listening to the Autocracy in America podcast, as I’m a fan of anything writer Anne Applebaum creates that analyzes the state of democracy in the Western world and beyond. Episode one examines how authoritarianism can and has creeped into democratic spaces that were once governed, broadly speaking, by facts and arguments.
As I listened, I reflected on what some of the insights the podcasters brought up might mean for the coming municipal elections in Alberta in 2025.
This premise should at first seem ridiculous. Municipal politics and politicians are the exact opposite of what we picture when we picture authoritarians. They lack real power, control, and the political landscape to even fantasize about the authority the president of a state can wield. But that’s not the point, I think. Instead, if you consider some of the new pieces that are coming into the coming 2025 municipal elections, such as political parties and more rigid partisan identities in general, I think it’s naive to expect the tactics we see in provincial and federal politics, where those pieces are firmly in play, to be wholly absent from our municipal politics.
In plainer terms, I worry the 2025 municipal election will not be governed by facts, arguments, and rationality.
Here are three things we might look out for when judging if the authoritarian turn we see happening in politics across the Western world, most prominently in the United States, is trickling down into our local elections. All of this is written directly from the ideas that Applebaum and co-host Peter Pomerantsev offer in the podcast, based from their own life’s experiences and keen observations from the rise of Donald Trump in the U.S. They’re not my ideas. All I’m doing is superimposing them onto our coming municipal elections.
Untruths that are EASILY refuted are nonetheless pushed by candidates and their supporters, even if they’ve been shown to be false.
This is the main and terrifying point of the first episode in Autocracy in America. To show political belonging, the hosts examine how repeating absurdity and conspiracies is the point. It signals belonging. Here, thinking of municipal politics, I have to reflect on some of the signs I saw this happening during the lightning rod that was the 15-minute cities discussion. Many people have stopped discussing it entirely to avoid being swept up in the absurdity.
Otherwise committed people decide it’s time to get out
The canary in the coal mine for a rise of authoritarianism, as the podcasters examine, can be those who work within systems that they assume are governed by facts and arguments suddenly feeling confronted by absurd or conspiratorial accusations. Often, as the podcast examines, people just give up. If we see people deciding to bail from systems or institutions that they once felt at home within, I think it’s a potential sign that the 2025 municipal election might be becoming infected with what’s plaguing provincial and federal politics.
A diversity of views is replaced by a binary, or two camps that can’t stand one another and will not compromise
This is the one that scares me the most as it will signal that municipal politics are shifting away from the qualities that make them something of a haven for those interested in political discussions but can’t stand the teams and tribalism that have come to epitomize provincial and federal politics in Canada. If our 2025 election sees camps that literally can’t stand one another and defining themselves as opposite to their hated rivals, I think we’ve started down the slope.
So, what do you think?